Can't Beat The Casino?
I'm not sure which lie is worse, the one that says you can
easily beat the casino with some simple system, or the one that
says you can't beat the casino. The truth is that there are
ways to get the statistical edge over the casino. Unfortunately,
they are generally not easy.
In the nine years I worked as a blackjack dealer, I saw many
hopeful schemes and ideas, and some of them worked. Card counting,
in particular, has a proven track-record of making money for
those who are willing to do it right. Card counting is a technique
for "beating the house," or making more money than
you lose in the long run, but not necessarily on any given day.
You beat the house by playing in such a way that the odds are
in your favor. How do you get the odds in your favor?
You watch and wait. When the deck is "rich" enough
in high-value cards (10,J,Q,K,A), the odds tilt slightly in favor
of the player. This has been proven statistically, although how
much the odds favor you depends on the "house rules,"
meaning the exact rules of the game in that particular casino.
The odds also depend on the number of decks that the dealer deals
from, and how far into the "card shoe" (the holder
that the cards are dealt from) the dealer deals before re-shuffling.
The basic idea is to monitor the cards as they come out, and
when the deck has more high-value cards than normal in it, bet
more. Bet less when the house has the edge, more when you have
the edge, and the odds are in your favor. In other words, you
should make money in the long run.
The above is a simple explanation, and you need to study a
good counting book to make this work. You need to know "basic
strategy," or when to take a "hit" and when to
"stand." Your play has to be precise to have the edge.
You need to practice at home for hours. It can be tough at first
to keep track of all those cards flying out of that shoe, while
the other players talk and waitresses interrupt you.
The "counting" part is essentially assigning a value
to the cards and tracking them. This is done more easily at tables
where the cards are dealt face up (except the dealer's "hole
card"). In one system, aces and face cards are given a value
of -1, two through six are valued at +1, and seven, eight and
nine are considered neutral.
Watching the cards, you add and subtract their values, betting
the table minimum all the while. When you arrive at a predetermined
count, let's say +7, you raise your bet. The high count means
that there are a higher percentage of high-value cards left in
the deck than normal. The odds are in your favor.
One card counter I dealt to for years would sit at the table
for most of an evening, betting the $2 minimum. He shifted chips
from one hand to another, his own way of tracking the "plus
or minus count." When the shoe (five decks of cards in this
case) was rich enough in high-value cards, he would suddenly
start betting two hands at $20 each.
He made money, but not much. Do this well, and you may still
only get a 1.5% edge on the casino. If, between your minimum
bets and the others you average $8 per hand, and 75 hands per
hour are dealt, you'll make about $9 per hour. This assumes you
can tolerate alternating losing and winning days and hours of
concentration. Betting more brings that hourly rate up, of course,
along with the risk of bigger losing days. Card counting is definitely
not for everyone.
Beating The Casino - Roulette Wheels
One of my favorite roulette players used to win regularly.
When I ran the table, we would talk philosophy while he patiently
made his simple bets all night. I knew he was winning, but not
how much. After I quit the job, I met him for coffee and discovered
that he had made over $90,000 in sixteen months of part-time
play. That made it more interesting.
This is a longer story than I want to tell here, but the point
is clear: It is a lie to claim that one can't beat the casino.
There a number of ways to do so. The question is whether it is
worth the effort. It may seem like it at first, until you sit
there concentrating and bored at the same time for hour after
hour.
By the way, there is a simple four-step formula for finding
a biased roulette wheel and making money playing it. It starts:
1. Find a roulette wheel.
2. Watch 5000 spins, writing down the number the ball falls
into on each one.
3. Start betting any that came up more than...
You can read the rest of the story, and get the formula for
winning at roulette, in Chapter 19 of my ebook "You Aren't
Supposed To Know - A Book Of Secrets," at:
http://www.TheSecretInformationSite.com
99 Lies | Can't Beat The Casino? |